Capital Commerce

Obama Stimulus Plan: Another Vote Against

By James Pethokoukis

Posted: December 3, 2008

Supermart investment strategist Ed Yardeni outlines his plan to help the economy:

1) Have the Fed target the 10-year Treasury bond yield at 2 percent and buy mortgage-backed securities.

2) Have the Treasury borrow $1 trillion on behalf of Fannie and Freddie and let them lend it out at 4 percent. (He figures the subsequent boom in refinancing would amount to a $200 billion a year "tax cut" for consumers with mortgages. It would also help deotoxify bank balance sheets.

3) Suspend mark-to-market accounting for three years and reconstitute the uptick rule. (He calls M2M the number one reason a $200 billion subprime problem turned into a multi-trillion dollar problem.)

4) Cut the captial gains tax rate to zero for the next two years.

Yardeni's bottom line:  "I am totally against a $500 billion stimulus program focused on infrastructure spending. ... It will certainly be overwhelmed by corruption and won't create anywhere close to 2.5 million jobs over the next two years. The total number of nonresidential construction workers peaked at 3.39 million in January 2007 when construction was booming."

Me: You know, there's that Pigou Club started by Greg Mankiw for people who are pro-carbon tax. Maybe I should start a Reagan Club for those who want to boost the economy more free-market policies and an FDR Club for those who want a "new New Deal." This plan has elements of both, a tax cut plus more government spending.

he is black and that is all

This man is spending so much money to bring him into to this presidency and it is all because he is black. Who really cares because he will bring this country down worse than Bush ever could. He will not fulfill his promises to his followers because he cannot and never could. He said to his "people" what they wanted to hear. And they believed him. Kind of like the Clinton followers. Which he was a disgrace with his oval office activites. What a person to look up to and that stupid wife of his still puts up with him..... Go figure! All I have to say is you demos that have trusted in this idiot and his sidekick... we shall talk about this maybe a year later. George Bush might not look so bad compared to the choice you have made. So...wait about a year before you bad mouth me. You dems are in for a big surprise about the man you president.

God Bless and help us all with the great Obama!

SUSAN E.TURNER of CA @ Jan 18, 2009 23:27:48 PM

Keep 'Em Coming

I'm opposed to all bailouts, but if we're going to spend another $500 to $1,000 billion, this seems like a more creative plan than the boondoggle Obama is offering. Hopefully the economists on his team will win out over the dilettante president and we'll get something based on something other than politics and failed Keynesianism.

I'm not clear what a temporary cessation of the capital gains tax would accomplish, however. That's a terribly narrow timeframe for meaningful investment and, unlike past cuts in the capital gains rate, wouldn't have the politically attractive side benefit of increased tax revenue to the government. I suppose it would allow investors to move their money from poor investments to much more promising ones, without triggering a tax event, but I wonder how many people have actual capital GAINS to worry about at this time.

I wonder if it wouldn't be a better idea to increase the maximum allowable capital loss write-off from the current $3,000 per year level to something like $15,000 per year.

Dean of MN @ Dec 03, 2008 15:52:47 PM

yea right

quote:once we get people (get people)get it with lower mortgage payments,they will spend again .wrong what will they spend it with no jobs. their looks? please look at the root of the problem folks.it dosnt matter how low the payments go its not going to help without jobs. i say cut out the freetrade bring our jobs back and let the foreign countries worrie about themselves.they didnt worrie about us when they was takeing all of our jobs away.lets not cover up our problems with stimulus and bailouts.tell me how a 300 dollar stimulus check will free up this mess were in.when each family spends it up within days because of high prices.then what?were right back to square 1 why cant all of these over educated idiots see this isnt going to work.it dont take a rocket scientist to figure this out .

jhughes of TN @ Dec 03, 2008 11:47:05 AM

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Capital Commerce

Capital Commerce

U.S. News business reporter Matthew Bandyk examines the issues, people, and debates that shape the nexus of political and economic life in the nation's capital.

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