Alpha Consumer

Using Online Retirement Calculators

By Kimberly Palmer

Posted: October 2, 2008

I could have taken a vacation to Greece with the money I've lost in my retirement account this year. When I told my husband that my 401(k) balance had plunged 17 percent since January, he said the solution was to stop looking at it.

He has a point, but there's something to be said for embracing the shock of just how paltry many of our nest eggs have become. According to a recent report by the Transamerica Center for Retirement Studies, most of us guess how much money we'll need once we stop working. Only 1 in 10 people does any sort of calculation at all. That might help explain why, on average, Americans are on track to replace less than 60 percent of their income during retirement. Financial experts generally recommend that retirees replace at least 80 percent, given the rising costs of healthcare.

The recent turmoil in the financial markets inspired me to crunch some numbers through several free, online calculators. I'd long assumed that I was saving plenty (around 10 percent of my annual income since I started working in my early 20s, about six years ago) to fund a comfortable retirement in the tropical locale of my choosing. I was wrong, which underscores just how much money today's workers—most of whom, like me, lack pensions—need to set aside.

TD Ameritrade's WealthRuler, which incorporates future inflation into its calculations, warned me that in the case of a poor market, I will end up running out of money at age 80. Bankrate.com's retirement calculator told me that I'll be able to support myself for only 11 years of retirement based on my current savings rate. Similarly, Transamerica calculated that with strong market returns, I could manage to save over $1 million—but that could still leave me short on cash.

Catherine Collinson, president of the Transamerica Center, hopes seeing numbers like these will encourage action. "For people who get a head start, it's astonishing to see how much one can save. It's not impossible."

For those alarmed by recent declines in their retirement accounts, here are some additional suggestions:

Save more, not less. Most financial advisers say taking money out of the market now is the wrong move, because you risk missing out on likely future gains. And the upside of a weak stock market is your retirement account contributions are buying shares more cheaply.

Change your budget. Diane Young of TD Ameritrade says the biggest mistake people make is underestimating how much they can put away for later. "They're thinking they can't save more than they're already saving. But you can. You don't have to go out to dinner four times a week or spend $5 on coffee," she says.

Follow tried-and-true strategies. Diversify your investments through index or mutual funds, and decrease your exposure to stocks by shifting into safer vehicles such as bonds and cash as you approach retirement.

Then forget about it. After sufficiently scaring myself into saving as much money as I can, I've taken my husband's advice to ignore the ups and downs of my account. And I also try not to think too hard about all the things I could have done with the money that has since evaporated.

Retirement Calculator

Kimberly,

I was extremely happy to see that you wrote on this subject. I read this article in the most recent issue of U.S. News & World Report and I was glad that you were putting the word out there. Just like yourself most people dont plan to fail, they fail to plan. You, as well as many others save and put away what they think is enough money, and in actuality it really isnt. You are right, a Retirement Calculator is a necessity for those that plan on putting away for Retirement and for it to last all of their Retirement years. I do want to advise, and I dont know if there is a problem with me saying this, but I am a Primerica Financial Analyst. At our company, which is a subsidiary of Citigroup, we sit down with everyday Middle Class Americans and we take down their financial info and input it into what we call a Financial Needs Analysis (FNA). This is also what you would call a Retirement Calculator, but we also assess other portions of that clients'finances and look at them as a whole so that we could create the best possible solution for that client's needs. You should look into our company, and others should do the same. This was just another option for those who are interested in finding a Retirement Calculator.

Melissa F. of NY @ Oct 11, 2008 18:20:46 PM

Thanks Bob- I'll be writing more on those points you brought up soon.

Kimberly Palmer of @ Oct 02, 2008 19:05:32 PM

Online Retirement Calculators

Most of these are ballpark tools that are really too crude to give you an accurate answer. Too many say you need at least 80% of your working pay to survive. The key is to figure how much you need to live on.If you take your take home pay and subtract retirement savings, direct work expenses, tuition payments (assuming the kids will be out of school by then), and anything else you won't have to fund in retirement. Take that figure and subtract what social security and any pension will pay you. This lower figure is what you have to provide for each year. Multiply that by a minimum of 25 to give you the savings you are going to need to be fairly certain you can take 4% a year - 20k a year needs 500k at the start of retirement. Try to get by with 3% and you will be more apt to last 30 years.

If you think you will come close to 10% returns I have a bridge to sell you. If you can average 6-7% count yourself lucky. It's obvious we all have to be more conservative with our investments so we can limit the damage from the next bubble, assuming we survive this one.

Bob of MA @ Oct 02, 2008 17:02:22 PM

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Alpha Consumer

Alpha Consumer

Kimberly Palmer, senior editor for U.S. News & World Report, writes about how to save money, avoid scams, manage debt, and be a savvy shopper. Send your personal finance questions to her for expert money advice.


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