6 Reasons Why the Dismal Retail Season Was Good for Us

More saving and less spending mean consumers are headed in the right direction

By Kimberly Palmer

Posted: January 8, 2009

You've probably heard the bad news: Early numbers show that December same-store sales fell about 1 percent from last year, despite steep discounts and bargain-hunting shoppers.

But what you may have missed is the good news. Really. Consumers got deals and finally learned to save. Retailers were forced to learn what it will take to survive a recession. And some even emerged as shining stars.

Here are six reasons why the so-called dismal holiday season actually is cause for cheer:

Shoppers got great deals. Low prices, especially on consumer electronics, made Blu-ray DVD players and LCD televisions two of the most popular gifts this season. Dan de Grandpre, chief executive of Dealnews.com, says that at one point he saw a 42-inch LCD television going for $500. Even luxury retailers such as Saks Fifth Avenue and Nordstrom were taking up to 40 percent off and offering free shipping. That meant those looking to upgrade their home entertainment center or redo their wardrobe were able to do so without breaking the bank.

It set us up for a stellar '09 season. Retail success is all relative. Each month or quarter, companies report how much they sold relative to the same period from the previous year. This year's low numbers mean next year—the 2009 holiday season—will have an easy time impressing analysts. Sure, it's sort of like gaining weight just so you can say you lost it, but it still means we've got some good news coming our way.

The slow season led to some incredible travel deals. Chris McGinnis, editor of the Best Western blog You Must Be Trippin', says two areas are particularly ripe for steals: Hawaii and cruises. "Hawaii has not been this cheap in a long time," he says. Round-trip tickets are as low as $300 from the West Coast and $500 from the Midwest. McGinnis will head out to Hawaii later this month, and he says he will get a car for just $33 a day and a hip hotel for just $112 a night. He estimates that he'll spend just $600 to $700 for a four-day getaway—about a quarter of what it would have cost last winter. (He'll be using frequent-flier miles for the airfare.)

As for cruises, McGinnis has spotted trips out of Florida to the Bahamas for as little as $25 a night. Those low prices are for an interior cabin (no ocean view), but, as McGinnis points out, people tend to spend little time inside their cabin.

Useful comparison websites thrived. Websites that help consumers save money became almost as sought after as celebrity news sites this season. PriceGrabber.com, BradsDeals.com, and Dealnews.com were just a few of the winners. Why is this good news? Because they pass on information that helps consumers save big, recession or not. The more visitors they get, the more powerful and useful they'll become.

The fittest shops survived. Amazon emerged as one of the big winners, with the online megaretailer announcing its best season ever. Stores known for keeping costs low, such as Wal-Mart, have also led the pack over the past several months. (December same-store sales for Wal-Mart were stronger than most competitors' but were still lower than expected.) The message to retailers: Shoppers want inexpensive goods, and if you want their business, you better give it to them. While it's not an easy lesson for companies that have long relied on their brand names to allow them to jack up prices and earn comfortable profit margins, it seems to be the only way to succeed moving forward.

Even the stores that struggled came away with valuable lessons, says Ellen Davis, vice president at the National Retail Federation. "I think retailers were really challenged this year to make more with less, and I think ultimately that will make them become better businesses," she says. Stores had to figure out how low they could push prices while still making money, as well as how best to use store employees and marketing dollars, Davis adds.

We made smarter choices. The savings rate has been rising as consumers get more worried about the dangers of debt. Retailers brought back layaway programs so shoppers trying to avoid credit-card debt could still pay a little bit at a time. People gave each other time instead of pricey baubles. Says consumer psychologist Kit Yarrow, "There's a shiny, bright silver lining in that people are connecting with each other more this year. . . . I think people gave more thought to what's important in their lives. Spending can become habituated, and a shock like this brings it all back to consciousness."

All of those changes add up to a healthier American consumer—and perhaps one ready to spend anew next holiday season.

Yes, that's the good thing, that people put money into savings for a while

What may very well happen going into fall is that while many consumers with good jobs and disposable incomes hunkered down a bit and put more money into savings (the US savings rate has increased) as a prudent hedge against recessionary times, once satisfied with the bigger emergency fund in the bank, they may increase spending and give a boost to the economy. News that the recession has ended should help drive consumer confidence, too.

The best thing that people can do to help stimulate the economy is, once they've socked that little bit of extra money away for a rainy day, is to then get out and go shopping.

Much of the US economy centers around consumer spending, so the surest way to move things forward is for those who are able to spend to not hold back and to go out and spend again, now that they've got more of a cushion in the bank. That was actually a good lull, where people realized that building up savings in the immediate term was the most wise course to take. Now, they may very well feel a lot more confident and resume pampering themselves a bit more.

Best areas to invest in are education for children (higher ed more important than ever before) and also, their immediate surroundings, like the home. Turn the home into a luxurious sanctuary to buffer the stress of the financial news, because that's the place where one spends the most time, aside from work, unless of course they work at home.

And do more home-cooking if time permits. It is much more healthy a habit than eating out, and good health helps buffer stress. Buying healthier foods from Whole Foods Market will save money that can be otherwise be used to splurge on great cookware and other kitchen luxuries.

No offense to the restaurant industry, but unless the offerings are healthy, people are better off cutting out so many expensive dinners and splurging on more permanent lasting home kitchens instead.

For better health and overall state-of-mind, turn consumer dollars towards turning the home into a sanctuary of comfy and cozy luxury. It lasts much longer than eating out all the time.

Angie Koutrotsios of IL @ Aug 23, 2009 15:35:54 PM

Lunar New Year Saves Economy?

What does Chinese (lunar) New Year have to do with anything? That whole rant was pointless. My Fiance is from India. There they celebrate Diwali for which everyone takes a holiday. He is Catholic but, does anyone in India think to give him Christmas off? No. Why? Because he is in the minority in his country for celebrating it. That doesn't mean he can't celebrate or that it is not meaningful, it just means that it's not officially recognized as an official "holiday" by the state. According to your argument, perhaps Americans should start celebrating Bastille Day instead of Independence Day on the 4th of July. Who cares what holidays are nationalized or internationalized? That doesn't solve anyone's economic crisis!

Jodi of MN @ Jan 30, 2009 12:32:01 PM

Prophet of environment

What? You're nuts. Value does trump price everytime. Go back to bed and get enough sleep before coming on the boards and being such a craba**.

B of MN @ Jan 16, 2009 19:54:26 PM

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