Does the Supreme Court's Healthcare Ruling Help Obama?
The Supreme Court largely upheld President Barack Obama's Affordable Care Act, with Chief Justice John Roberts casting the deciding vote in the 5-4 split on the individual mandate. In his majority opinion, Roberts declared the controversial individual mandate is a tax, and thus constitutional. The court did find that states could opt out of a federally mandated expansion of Medicaid without losing federal funding. Even with this caveat, the administration can move forward with implementing the healthcare law, many aspects of which are set to go into effect in 2014.
[Check out political cartoons about healthcare.]
Obama's healthcare plan has been at the center of the national political debate since before its passage, and has been a major part of the 2012 presidential campaign. Republican presumptive nominee Mitt Romney has vowed to repeal the law, even though when he was governor of Massachusetts he supported a similar individual mandate.
The ruling has spurred Republicans to continue their fight to repeal the law, and have scheduled another vote to do so. "Obamacare" as it has come to be known, is opposed by more Americans than those who support it, and the GOP is hoping that the ruling will drive the law's critics to the polls come November, eager to elect a president and Congress who will repeal it. However, Obama supporters say that the decision is a political win for the president, and that support for the law will grow now that it has been declared constitutional. Does the Supreme Court's healthcare ruling help Obama? Here is the Debate Club's take:
The Arguments
No — The presidential election will be a referendum on Obamacare
FORD O'CONNELL, Republican Strategist, Conservative Activist, and Political Analyst Comment (7)
No — Republicans will organize around opposition to Obamacare, which means trouble for the president
STEPHANIE SLADE, Project Director at The Winston Group Comment (15)
Yes — Healthcare ruling will energize Obama's Democratic base but won't necessarily win over swing voters
JAMIE CHANDLER, Political Scientist at Hunter College Comment
No — Republicans will oppose healthcare law as "the largest tax increase in history"
LARA BROWN, Author of 'Jockeying for the American Presidency: The Political Opportunism of Aspirants' Comment (17)
No — Obamacare crystallizes the president's "nanny state" approach to government and the economy
MICHAEL MARSHALL, Communications Director to former Sen. Bob Dole Comment
Yes — The fact that the most conservative justice upheld the healthcare law is a major win for Obama
BRAD BANNON, President of Bannon Communications Research Comment (1)
Yes — The president and the country win as the court upholds the Affordable Care Act
PETER FENN, Democratic Political Strategist Comment
