Debate Club

Too Soon to Tell Whether Scott Walker Paves the Way for Mitt Romney

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The 2012 presidential election is still more than five months away. A lot can happen. And for all intents and purposes, the general election contest is just getting underway, so it is premature at best to say which way the political winds are blowing in key states. President Obama is probably a little ahead of the game nationally in terms of organization and efforts to energize his base, but the polls show a very closely divided electorate. Gallup's latest aggregation has the race at 46 to 46 percent, with a small number of undecided voters.

[See a collection of political cartoons on the 2012 campaign.]

Wisconsin has voted for a Democratic candidate for president in every election since 1984, but some of those wins have been narrow ones. The state is usually included in the list of swing states, and the evidence from the exit poll there yesterday is mixed. Wisconsinites voted for Scott Walker by 7 points in the recall, but they also said that if the election were held today, they would vote for Barack Obama by 7. Voters there said that Obama would do a better job than Romney in handling the economy. Bottom line, there is an opportunity for Romney to win the state, but it is no sure thing. Election results in June in a special recall election may not tell us much at all.

Karlyn Bowman

About Karlyn Bowman Senior Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute

Tags
Obama, Barack
2012 presidential election
Romney, Mitt
Wisconsin
Walker, Scott

Other Arguments

#1
46 Pts
Scott Walker's Win Strengthens Mitt Romney's Candidacy

Yes – Scott Walker's Win Strengthens Mitt Romney's Candidacy

John M. O'Hara Author of 'A New American Tea Party'

#2
30 Pts
Scott Walker's Victory Shows Voters Want a Smaller Government

Yes – Scott Walker's Victory Shows Voters Want a Smaller Government

James Sherk Senior Policy Analyst at the Heritage Foundation

#3
18 Pts
Republicans and Mitt Romney Will Feed Off Scott Walker Win

Yes – Republicans and Mitt Romney Will Feed Off Scott Walker Win

Ron Bonjean Former Chief of Staff for the Senate Republican Conference

#5
-10 Pts
Mitt Romney Needs to Campaign, Connect to Ensure His Victory
#7
-40 Pts
Walker's Win Shows Big Money Can Trump Grassroots Fervor

No – Walker's Win Shows Big Money Can Trump Grassroots Fervor

Krystal Ball MSNBC Contributor and Former Democratic Nominee for Congress

#8
-44 Pts
Only Time Will Tell What Scott Walker's Victory Means for Barack Obama

No – Only Time Will Tell What Scott Walker's Victory Means for Barack Obama

Michael Kazin Author of 'American Dreamers: How the Left Changed a Nation'

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