Nate Silver Sees Major Gains for GOP in 2010
By Nikki Schwab, Washington Whispers
PITTSBURGH — It's fast becoming conventional wisdom, but statistics wonk Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com reiterated that Democrats should be nervous about the 2010 midterm elections. "I don't think you should feel at all comforted by 2010," said Silver. The political prognosticator predicted a 20- to 50-seat loss in the House for the Democrats and either a one-seat gain or as much as a six-seat loss for the Democrats in the Senate. This comes from the same numbers guru who called the presidential election results correctly in 49 states. "Don't be complacent about 2010," Silver warned bloggers and activists attending the Netroots Nation conference in Pittsburgh.
Charlie Cook of the Cook Political Report stayed nonpartisan but doled out the same advice. "The intensity has switched to the other side," Cook explained. That said, Silver acknowledged that 2012 is looking pretty good for President Obama. Why? Because the Republicans might be "stupid enough to nominate, say, Sarah Palin," said Silver.
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Tags: elections | Republicans
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Reader Comments
what about Fascism
It's impressive to hear all the nonsense about Obama being a fascist because of his health care agenda. Do these people even know that fascism means CORPORATE control of the government, a fact we see every day in the special interest legislation passed, the special interest opposition to health reform, etc.?
Obama made great strides in minimizing fascist (i.e. special interest)influence in his Administration by not accepting PAC money or money from lobbyists during his campaign. He has strict and I fear hard to enforce rules about lobbyists in his administration. The GOP, on the other hand, is all about fascist control and influence by allowing corporations to influence their positions even if counter to the itnerests of the people they are supposed to serve.
One can disagree with president Obama and democrats in Congress, but if you despise fascism (and I do), then at least ry to understand what this economic and political system actually means.
Democratic party issues
The Democratic party is doing a pretty good job of cloaking fascism except for the party-poopers like the Tea Partiers who see through everything. Darn, many of them have been reading history and know what fascism looks like and where it leads.
The Democratic party faithful need to work on better arguments (to convince hesitant people that fascism is fun and good)than to call people stupid and other clever names.
Healt Care a 2010 save
The only thing that will help the Dems to retain seats in 2010 is for them to show the country that they are capable of making the hard decisions like health care reform. If they think they can waffle on this one and win in 2010, they are kidding themselves. Use it or lose it!
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