Saturday, July 11, 2009

Science

Thinking Harder

Smoking Ban Prevented Heart Attacks; Does Each Obama Speech Do the Same?

January 02, 2009 02:10 PM ET | Ben Harder | Permanent Link | Print

"Every time Obama comes on television now, the collective blood pressure in the United States goes down 10 points."

That quote, attributed to Rep. Neil Abercrombie, a Democrat from Hawaii, appeared today in a Washington Post article on Obama's calm manner and how the president-elect's disposition reflects his upbringing in laid-back Hawaii. It suggests that Obama's cool is contagious is a positive way, that it reassures Americans rattled by the nation's state of crisis.

Rep. Abercrombie may have been speaking figuratively, but imagine for a moment the possibility that Obama's speeches actually do lower listeners' blood pressure. Since high blood pressure contributes to heart attacks and strokes, is it possible that Obama's status as president-elect has prevented some cardiovascular attacks?

That may sound implausible, but I don't think it is. Rigorous studies show that changes in the environment around people—for example, reduced smoking in public places—can rapidly and significantly lower heart attack rates. In fact, a study published today in the health journal Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report reports that hospitalizations for heart attack in Pueblo, Colo., fell 27 percent in the year and a half after a smoking ban went into effect there—and subsequently fell again, for a 41 percent decrease over three years.

A change in the identity of the nation's commander-in-chief isn't the same thing as a law that results in cleaner air, but if it lowers people's blood pressure, it could have a similar effect. And if Obama's soothing presence (soothing to some voters, at any rate) on the national stage has led to a drop off in heart attacks, researchers should be able to confirm it the same way the authors of today's smoking study did—by comparing heart attack rates before and after Obama was elected.

An enterprising researcher could also contrast any shift in the heart attack rate in pro-Obama cities or states to any shift in areas that voted against the Democrat. If heart attacks have decreased in blue states since early November and have increased in red states, that would be an intriguing clue. (In parts of the country, heart attack rates naturally fluctuate from month to month, so researchers would have to take that into account, too.)

I'd also be interested in knowing whether the blood pressure of voters tends to change when they hear Obama speak—and whether there's any difference in the biological response his supporters and nonsupporters have.

I'll see if I can reach an epidemiologist who's qualified to comment on this subject.

Tags: heart disease | Barack Obama | science | stroke | smoking and tobacco

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Reader Comments

Reasoning needed, apply within

I think the folks who are so against Obama (whether as candidate or now president) and the folks who are so for him to the point of granting him near-sainthood all need to sit down and calm down. The recession is GLOBAL - one president in one country is not going to fix everything no matter how charismatic he might seem to be. Obviously Bush's approval rating dropped as time went on, so it might seem that in comparison people are over the moon about Obama and vague change, but the folks who truly think about the current situation (like Joe C. of VA above) will realize that you need to use some basic reasoning. If Obama does succeed in any capacity over the next 4 years, he will need a good cabinet that inspires faith, not fears of more outlaw behavior (non-payment of taxes) and good works here and abroad. Good speeches might feel good, but they're like cotton candy - you can only take in so much before you feel sick and need a real meal. Good luck Mr. President, I think you'll need it!

Cult of Personality

I think I am going to vomit.

It Depends...

Often during the campaign, and especially during the Democratic primaries, he may have raised my blood pressure a bit. From his victory speech up until his recent economic stimulus speech, he gave a lot of calm, well-reasoned, reassuring, thoughtful, analytical, and fact-driven information and I was happy to listen. However, his most recent speech on the proposed stimulus probably raised my blood pressure. I don't take trillion dollar deficits lightly, especially when Obama says they can be for more than one year. I also get very leary and sick to my stomach when he states that only government can end the recession. While I agree that government will soften the blows, we have a dynamic economy and all economies go through boom and bust cycles. There are also reforms to the financial regulatory structure to facilitate better information and protections. If Obama wants to make me happier and perhaps healthier, he will offer reasoned analysis and moderate policies, not "bold action" that's not well thought out.

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Thinking Harder

This blog is the public workshop of U.S. News writer and editor Ben Harder. In articles published in the magazine, he has covered a range of sciences, including medicine, human behavior, prehistory, and evolution. Here, he can explore those and other scientific fields more fully and more informally than is possible in print. He'll share whatever seems noteworthy or potentially useful, and he invites readers to do the same.

WTOP Audio

On Feb. 24, 2008, Ben discussed the link between artificial light and cancer on WTOP radio. Listen to the interview at WTOP News. He again talked about light pollution on WTOP on March 22, exploring its environmental effects.

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