Tuesday, December 2, 2008

Money & Business

Planning to Retire by Emily Brandon

Are Your Retirement Savings on Target?

July 01, 2008 03:12 PM ET | Emily Brandon | Permanent Link | Print

Employees aren't sure how much of their salary they should replace in retirement. As part of an online test on retirement income, MetLife Mature Market Institute and GfK North America asked, "What percent of preretirement income do experts think retirees need to use as a benchmark for determining the amount of annual income needed in retirement?" The chart below shows the responses of workers between the ages of 56 and 65 who plan to retire in the next five years.

They're right to be confused. There is no correct income replacement rate for everyone. An adequate level of income depends on retirement expenditures, retirement age, gender, asset allocation, and the percentage of savings that is annuitized, according to the Employee Benefit Research Institute.

Some economists doubt altogether the validity of the replacement rate calculations that many online calculators provide, saying that they often ignore variables that are impossible to predict, such as longevity, investment returns, and catastrophic healthcare costs that can derail all but the most sound retirement plans.

Human resources consulting firm Hewitt Associates released a report today saying that employees will need to replace, on average, an astonishing 126 percent of their final pay in retirement after inflation and medical costs are factored in. Most workers are on target to replace 85 percent of their income based on Hewitt's analysis of nearly 2 million employees at 72 large U.S. companies.

Nonetheless, a Government Accountability Office report found that some economists and financial advisers consider retirement income adequate if it replaces 65 to 85 percent of preretirement income. But you don't have to completely get to that number on your own. Social Security replaces, on average, 54.2 percent of wages for low-earning workers and 33.5 percent of income for high earners. To get to, say, a 75 percent replacement rate, you'd have to make up the difference of only 20.8 and 41.5 percent of income, respectively. And if you're lucky enough to have a pension, you can probably get by with saving even less.

Some studies have found that simply doing a calculation of your retirement-savings needs can put you on the fast track. But the GAO has much more dire predictions. Workers born in 1990 will have enough savings in their 401(k)-style plans to replace only about one fifth ($18,784 annually in 2007 dollars when savings are converted to a lifetime annuity) of their annual preretirement income, GAO projects. And 37 percent of workers born in 1990 will have no 401(k)-style savings at all.

That's better than the current crop of older workers but still not enough. Workers between 55 and 64 who have a 401(k)-style plan had a median account balance of $50,000 in 2004, which would provide an income of about $4,400 per year, replacing just 9 percent of income, on average, the GAO calculated.

Tell us, do you have a percentage of your preretirement income you're aiming to replace? Or do you just save as much as you can?

Tags: investing | retirement | savings

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Reader Comments

Useless number

All these estimates are useless. Take me for example. My total spending equals about 30% of my income. Every estimate in this article, for income needed in retirement, seems to assume I'll be spending many times what I currently do. That is nonsense.

In answer to your question. I just save as much as I can and I aim to retire when I have enough to cover all expenses with a healthy cushion. Not a percentage of current income.

Thanks, Joe

retirement

does this study take into account

1.) if you are saving 10-25% of your income now you are living on 75-90% of what you make now.....

2.) does your nestegg earn zero after you retire? many of these articles say only draw 4% of your nestegg, well if your retirement money is earnig 7-8% why would you not be able to draw 6% of that earned money the following year and not have your nestegg retirement money go down by zero.

why would people not look at their lifestyle, like Joe commented, and decide this is what I want to have as far as a house, car, travel, food, gas, healthcare and whatever else is important to them. Have enough put away to cover those expenses and then live within those saved means. I know my family has all the children's college expense paid for, we will sell our current home and move to a smaller less expensive home. And ensure we have put away enough to cover the costs we feel -we

want to -have in retirement------- I mean it should be simple, obviously you cannot plan or account for everything, i am sure my mother who is retired never thought gas would be $ 4 per gal, but she has not changed her lifestyle ........ if not people who do not think this through or over extend will just have to work for the rest of their life.

Re:Are Your Retirement Savings on Target?

In short, I do think T. Rowe Price's Target Retirement Funds are good. The total expense ratio for the 2040 one is 0.84% which is very good. The Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 (VFORX) has an expense ratio of only 0.26%. While it's a minimal difference from the T. Rowe Price offering, I'd stick with Vanguard.

http://retiredebtfreeandhappy.com/

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Reporter Emily Brandon tells you how to get ready financially for retirement and to make your golden years the best they can be. You can E-mail Emily your retirement concerns at retire@usnews.com.

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