Wednesday, December 3, 2008

Money & Business

New Money by Katy Marquardt

Investing Newsletters Turning Bullish

May 16, 2008 02:21 PM ET | Katy Marquardt | Permanent Link | Print

Investment newsletter writers are getting more bullish about the market. Optimism has actually been on the rise for six consecutive weeks, to be exact. To see for myself, I took a look at two newsletters that landed in my mailbox this week:

• Eric Kobren, executive editor of the Fidelity Insight newsletter, points out that there are still "ample" reasons for concern: The housing market is in a funk, consumer confidence is low, food and gas prices are squeezing everyone, and credit is tougher to get. But stock investors are finding reasons for optimism, he says:

While stock prices are no bargain at today's weak earnings levels, it should be easier for companies to beat those earnings going forward. Balance sheets are being cleaned up (especially among financials) and the weak dollar is helping exporters.

Kobren currently favors Fidelity Mega Cap Stock, Fidelity Dividend Growth, and Fidelity Blue Chip Growth—funds that focus on large companies and are all chock-full of global corporations—in his model portfolio.

• Here's what the folks at the Oberweis Report, a monthly newsletter focused on fast-growing, small-company stocks, have to say:

Market bottoms are like giving birth. The exact moment is hard to predict, but it is always painful. Though it sometimes takes longer than you'd guess, you know it is coming. And once it is over, it sure feels better. March 2008 will likely prove to be that bottom.

Eww. There's got to be a better analogy.

The Oberweis crew goes on to say that while they expect many companies to experience slowness as the year goes on, "don't make the mistake of assuming that all investment opportunities are unfavorable. In many cases, shares already reflect expectations for a sharp slowdown.... Even for issues near their highs, we suspect prices would be much higher under more normal market conditions. Watch this quarter's earnings reports for companies reporting solid growth; now is the time to buy them at discount prices."

Sounds pretty optimistic to me.

Tags: investing | stock market

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Reader Comments

Odd factors?

Although this is counterintuitive to those hoping for tax cuts, there is always the possibility the market is readying itself for the massive boost in American (possibly world) CONSUMER confidence that would be caused by a liberal takeover of American government.

We may recall that both the 60s and the 90s were mostly go-go periods for business activity, and the beginning of the burst of the tech bubble started in March, 2000, just as it became predicted that George Bush would win in the fall of that year.

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Katy Marquardt, an associate editor at U.S.News & World Report, takes a contemporary look at happenings in the financial world and aims to help young investors get going with their portfolios--or just sound cool at cocktail parties. Have a question? E-mail Katy at newmoney@usnews.com

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