Friday, November 27, 2009

Opinion

Hold Off on Those Obama Victory Predictions

October 31, 2008 04:52 PM ET | Bonnie Erbe | Permanent Link | Print

Polls always tighten right before an election, no matter how far ahead the front-runner is. But I still refuse to jump on the MSM bandwagon and predict with impunity that Tuesday will bring a landslide victory for Sen. Barack Obama. Two new polls reported by Politico.com show McCain gaining in two swing states. Most important, from my perspective, is that one of them is Missouri, which has gone against the presidential victor only one time since 1904 (and that was for Adlai Stevenson of neighboring Illinois).

So with that in mind, I point your attention to the following:

Barack Obama and John McCain are evenly matched in the swing states of North Carolina and Missouri, though Obama is strongly outpacing McCain in two of those states' crucial battleground counties, according to new Politico/InsiderAdvantage polls.

In North Carolina, Obama and McCain were tied with 48 percent of the vote. Only 3 percent of voters in the state remain undecided. In Missouri, McCain led Obama 50 percent to 47 percent, an edge that was within the margin of error.

The only prediction I have made, and with which I shall stick, is that Tuesday is going to be a long, long night.

Tags: presidential election 2008 | Barack Obama | John McCain | polls

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Reader Comments

Bonnie- stop keeping your hopes up for Hillary

Bonnie- stop keeping your hopes up for hillary. its a landslide. get over it.

Palin in the white house

she needs to pay attention to her infant that needs tender care of a mother and constant love.

her teenage daughter now pregnant shows that this woman doesn't take care of her responsibilities at home let alone the world!

i don't want to lose america's sovereignty

we are a unique nation in the history of nations.no other country has ever empowered it's people to self determination as we have been!barak husain obama will take that power of self determination and place it in the hands of government.i have always understood that to be(and in fact is)socialism at best and marxism worst!with the dems holding all the cards i fear we are approaching the latter.

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About Bonnie Erbe

Bonnie Erbe is a contributing editor at U.S. News & World Report and hosts PBS's weekly news analysis program, To the Contrary with Bonnie Erbe. She also writes a weekly syndicated newspaper column for Scripps Howard News Service.

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