Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Opinion

Obama May Be Favored Against McCain, but It Ain't Over 'Til It's Over

October 09, 2008 01:04 PM ET | Bonnie Erbe | Permanent Link | Print

Robert, my colleague here at Thomas Jefferson Street, wrote today that Barack Obama has the race sewn up. In my heart of hearts, boss, I've been saying essentially the same thing for a week now. Personally, I agree it sure looks like it's over.

But professionally, I am duty-bound to add there are several game-changer scenarios that still might occur to create a McCain win—none of them good but all of them possible.

Allow me to use the "R" word as diplomatically as I can, in the following phrase: "Race-based decision-making." I have to wonder how many Americans who've been telling pollsters they'll vote for Obama will get into the privacy of the voting booth and fail to push that digital button. Yes, Bush's eight years have been nothing short of disastrous for the nation. I do believe President Bush will go down in history as the worst American president ever. His failed, expensive war in Iraq, his ridiculous penchant for profligate spending, his nasal, hydrocephalic tone of voice—these and many other factors have caused independents and moderate Republicans (are there any left?) to flee the party in droves. But does that mean they'll vote for Barack Obama? Probably, but I'm not yet certain.

Then, there's the possibility of an October surprise. Slim? Yes. Possible? Yes.

Lastly, how can we forget voting issues that have cropped up in the past several elections? Black-dominated areas in Ohio, for example, that were conveniently short on voting machines and kept people in line in the cold rain for 6 hours. Votes placed that never registered. Absentee ballots that were never counted. This type of manipulation could occur again. Not a pretty picture, but one we must consider.

Democratic registration is up, way up. The youth vote is promising to swell this year by large proportions. Democrats are clearly energized and Republicans dispirited. At this point, things look so positive for Senator Obama; his win wouldn't surprise most Americans. But I've worked in the news business long enough to know, it ain't over 'til it's over.

Tags: presidential election 2008 | Barack Obama | John McCain | polls | race

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Reader Comments

Rollling Stone?

Since when did Rolling Stone become the 'go to' resource for political info?

Maybe because they are the only rag that would print such inaccuracies.

I really hope our next president isn't elected because of some idiotic article in Rolling Stone. God help us all.

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Sentor McCain's the worst mistake

The neocons who tutored George W. Bush in the ideology he pursued to the ruin of his presidency are now doing the same for Palin.

In St. Paul, Palin was told to cancel a meeting with Phyllis Schlafly and pro-life conservatives. McCain’s operatives said Palin had to rest for her Wednesday convention speech.

Yet, on Tuesday, Palin was behind closed doors with Joe Lieberman and officials of the Israeli lobby AIPAC. There, according to The Washington Post, Palin took and passed her oral exams.

“Palin assured the group of her strong support for Israel, of her desire to see the United States move its embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem and of her opposition to Iran’s aspirations to become a nuclear power, according to sources familiar with the meeting.”

AIPAC’s mission, like that of Likud, is to goad America into launching air and missile strikes on any and all Iranian nuclear facilities. AIPAC went away happy. Purred spokesman Josh Block, “We were pleased that Gov. Palin expressed her deep personal commitment to the safety and well-being of Israel.”

Heading home to Alaska to prepare for her interview with Charlie Gibson, Palin was escorted by Randy Scheunemann, McCain’s foreign policy guru and, until March, a hired agent of the Tbilisi regime.

Scheunemann’s lobbying assignment: Bring Georgia into NATO, so U.S. troops, like 19-year-old Track Palin, will be required to fight Russia to defend a Saakashvili regime that has paid Randy and his partner $730,000.

Reportedly, a phone conversation was held between Saakashvili and Palin, in which Palin committed herself to the territorial integrity of Georgia, though South Ossetia and Abkhazia have declared independence and been recognized by Moscow, which now has troops in both.

Also on Palin’s plane was Steve Biegun, formerly of Bush’s National Security Council, and Scheunemann’s choice to tutor her. Of Biegun, Steven Clemens of the New American Foundation says, “He will turn her into an advocate of Cheney-ism and Cheney’s view of national security issues.”

During her interview with Gibson, Palin often took a neocon line. Three times she said that, should Israel decide to attack Iran, the United States should not “second guess” Israel’s decision or interfere.

This contradicts U.S. policy. Adm. Michael Mullen, chairman of the joint chiefs, has warned Israel not to attack Iran, as the United States does not want a “third front.” And the Pentagon is withholding crucial weapons the Israelis want and need to carry out any such attack.

One ex-White House aide at American Enterprise Institute, asked by Tim Shipman of the Daily Telegraph if AEI sees Palin as a “project,” replied: “Your word, not mine. ... But I wouldn’t disagree with the sentiment. ... She’s bright, and she’s a blank page. She’s going places, and it’s worth going there with her.”

Should Sarah Palin have been selected for the Vice-President position? No. The best person for the job would have been Dr. Condi Rice.

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About Bonnie Erbe

Bonnie Erbe is a contributing editor at U.S. News & World Report and hosts PBS's weekly news analysis program, To the Contrary with Bonnie Erbe. She also writes a weekly syndicated newspaper column for Scripps Howard News Service.

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