Thursday, November 26, 2009

Opinion

Clinton's Supporters Could be Key for McCain/Palin

September 04, 2008 05:22 PM ET | Bonnie Erbe | Permanent Link | Print

So per my last post, Gov. Sarah Palin deserves support from women, conservative and liberal alike, when she is treated in a sexist manner. But women should also feel free to express differences of opinion with her. What troubles me about Palin's speech on Wednesday night is her charm, high voice, and soft manner belie the depth of her arch-conservative and some would say anachronistic views on abortion rights, abstinence-only sex education, church and state, animal slaughter for pleasure, and the environment.

Her views on these topics are hardly in line with the views of most American women. An Emily's List poll conducted Aug. 31 and Sept. 1 shows, "a 55 percent majority of Clinton's voters say that Palin's inclusion on the ticket makes them less likely to vote for John McCain (just 9 percent say her presence on the ticket makes them more likely to support McCain)."

Sen. Hillary Clinton won 18 million votes, so 9 percent of that is more than 1.5 million votes. In a close election, if in the right states, those votes could turn out to be decisive. The website electoral-vote.com cites a new CNN poll showing Ohio (with its 20 electoral college votes) in a statistical dead heat, with Obama leading 47 percent to 45 percent. The website also tallies the electoral college votes, based on recent polls, with Obama winning 298 votes, McCain 227 and showing them tied in Virginia, which has 13 electoral votes. If those former Clinton, now likely Palin/McCain supporters are strategically placed in states where the race is tied or states now polling barely for Obama (including Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Nevada, and New Hampshire) and those states' 41 electoral votes tip into the McCain camp, that boosts McCain electoral support to 268, just two shy of the 270 needed to win the White House. This is an unlikely scenario, but one worth watching.

Tags: presidential election 2008 | Hillary Clinton | John McCain | Sarah Palin

Tools: Share | | Comments (26) | Print

Reader Comments

Hillary supporters

Sarah palin is an insult to women! Any Hillary supporter is more intelligent and is more interested in the issues. Having the same sex does not make the difference. This topic shows very clearly that McCain and Palin don't get it.

This election is too important for all US citizens to vote for a hockey mom. I keep hearing about the need for better education in the US and yet the Republican party has a president candidate who was the 5th lowest in his class and a vice president candidate who had to go to 6 colleges to get a degree in journalism.

I agree that the education system is in dire need if US citizens don't understand the difference.

This reason that Hillary remains silent is obvious, deep down in her heart she wants Obama to lose this election thus giving her another run in 2012. The Clintons’ are not good losers and they want the opportunity after the election to say to the DNC "I told you so" …..They both have said publically and in private that they do not believe Obama can beat McCain and that Hillary would have been a much tougher opponent. Also she was never ever considered for the Vice President which I personally think will cost Obama the election.

And if wishes were fishes . . .

This is analysis? A series of "If . . . Then . . . " loops like this would cause any program to bog under the processing load of all of these conditional statements. A good rule of thumb in coding is also appropriate here: if you find yourself using so many "if/then" loops to control your processing flow, then you need to reset your assumptions.

You are the journalist: go through the polling data and tell us just where those former Clinton supporters are located; tell us which ones are still voting for McCain and draw some conclusions from what you learn - don't hem and haw.

Add your thoughts

Your comment will be posted immediately, unless it is spam or contains profanity. For more information, please see our Comments FAQ.

advertisement

U.S. News Weekly

Subscribe Now

Order the new U.S. News Weekly digital magazine at a special low introductory price!

About Bonnie Erbe

Bonnie Erbe is a contributing editor at U.S. News & World Report and hosts PBS's weekly news analysis program, To the Contrary with Bonnie Erbe. She also writes a weekly syndicated newspaper column for Scripps Howard News Service.

advertisement

NEWSLETTER

Sign up today for the latest headlines from U.S. News & World Report delivered to you free.

RSS FEEDS

Personalize your U.S. News with our feeds of blogs and breaking news headlines.

U.S. NEWS MOBILE

U.S. News daily briefings are also available on your mobile device.

FAVORITES

advertisement

People who read this also read ...

Thomas Jefferson St.

GOP Can Be Thankful for Strong Polls

But they cannot get complacent.

5 Reasons for a Democratic Thanksgiving

Michael Steele and healthcare reform top the list.

Women Have Say on Health Reform

If it's the year of the women, why are there so few of them?

Turkey Tax

Uncle Sam is joining in on your Thanksgiving dinner.

Ideological Labels Just Don't Fit

Hard-liners don't understand that some of us don't toe an ideological line.

A Decade in Biased Review

How well does the video sum up the last decade?

GOPers Push European-Style Litmus Tests

Some RNC members want strict party platforms. Why do they hate America?

Cartoon Gallery

Editorial Cartoon

Political Cartoons

Check out our most recent cartoons.

Public Opinion

Should the GOP Have a Litmus Test?

Should the RNC exclude politicians who don't match the party's platform?

Use of this Web site constitutes acceptance of our Terms and Conditions of Use and Privacy Policy.
Make USNews.com your home page.