Sunday, July 5, 2009

Money & Business

Capital Commerce

Sorry, the Fundamentals of the Economy Are Sound. That's Right!

October 08, 2008 04:34 PM ET | James Pethokoukis | Permanent Link | Print

Picture the U.S. economy this way: It's like an Olympic athlete, say Michael Phelps or Bryan Clay, who's been struck down with necrotizing fasciitis, the "flesh-eating" disease. (And imagine the government as leg weights.) Cure the credit markets and he can get back in the game.

More evidence of the truth of this analogy comes from the World Economic Forum—the Davos people—who for the second straight year judged the United States as possessing the most competitive economy in the world. (Then came Switzerland, Denmark, Sweden, and Singapore.) Among America's strengths: innovation, flexible labor markets, and higher education. Not surprisingly, though, our institutions ranked a dismal 29th. (Thanks, Wall Street.)

The WEF also listed what our biggest problems are. Check out these top three, in descending order: tax rates, tax regulation, and inefficient government bureaucracy. That's right. The horrible handiwork of Uncle Sam is our big "problemo." Also, look at this insightful explainer of the WEF's approach:

For hundreds of years, economists have tried to understand what determines the wealth of nations. This attempt has ranged from Adam Smith's focus on specialization and the division of labor to neoclassical economists' emphasis on investment in physical capital and infrastructure, and, more recently, to interest in other mechanisms such as education and training, and technological progress.... The central point, however, is that they are not mutually exclusive—so that two or more of them could be true at the same time.... This also can partly explain why, despite the present global financial crisis, we do not necessarily see large swings in competitiveness ratings, for example in the United States. Financial markets are only one of several important components of national competitiveness.

And remember, the core U.S. economy is in far better shape than it was in the 1970s. Productivity, the key measure of an economy's strength, consistently grew at less than 2 percent in the 1970s and stayed weak until the tax cuts, deregulation, inflation fighting, and corporate restructuring of the 1980s blossomed into the tech and productivity boom on the 1990s and beyond. Productivity has averaged about 2½ percent since 1995 and is now running closer to 3 percent year over year, including 4.3 percent in the second quarter. So, yeah, the Main Street fundamentals are sound. It's Wall Street and Washington that are the problems.

Tags: economy | productivity

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Reader Comments

OBAMA AGREES WITH MCCAIN in the middle of Meltdown

hey what do we think now that OBAMA says economy is sound. Guess he is out of touch and stupid as well.

Brain Dead Headlines get Attention, but ....

When there is no logic behind a headline it just reflects the commentators nonsense to appreciate the fact that we are in the financial collapse. Partially because our financial press has not been paying attention to the squandering of America by the Republican party. Somewhat economically illiterate that they are, can not figure out the simplest of issues.

Breaking News - The US Economy is collapsing, this house of cards Bush built is finished.

Sorry you maybe made a typo - Maybe you meant The Fundamentalists are Strong, sorry, I don't think that works anymore either.

fundamentals

yup... this is like saying a car that all 4 wheels have come off - is still fundamentally a car - and will be just fine just as soon as we get those dang wheels back on it.

George Bush Econ 101

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About the Capital Commerce Blog

Send an E-mail to mbandyk@usnews.com.

U.S. News business reporter Matthew Bandyk examines the issues, people, and debates that shape the nexus of political and economic life in the nation's capital. Reach him by email at mbandyk@usnews.com.

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