Sunday, July 20, 2008

Money & Business

Capital Commerce

A Spring Thaw for Housing?

January 31, 2008 01:17 PM ET | James Pethokoukis | Permanent Link

Economic professor and Econbrowser blogger James Hamilton thinks the Fed's big rate cuts this month could result in a stronger housing market in a couple of months:

My research paper went on to demonstrate that although interest rates respond immediately to the anticipation of any change from the Fed, it takes a considerable amount of time for this to show up in something like new home sales, due to the substantial time lags involved for most people's home-purchasing decisions.... According to the historical correlations, we would expect the biggest effects of the January interest rate cuts to show up in home sales this April.

Tags: economy | interest rates | housing market

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About the Capital Commerce Blog

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James Pethokoukis is the money and politics blogger for U.S. News & World Report , where he writes the monthly Capital Commerce magazine column. Pethokoukis is also the assistant managing editor of the magazine's Money & Business section. He has written for many publications including the New York Times, the American, USA Today, Investor's Business Daily, and TCS Daily. Pethokoukis is also an official CNBC contributor and appears frequently on that network's Kudlow & Company, Power Lunch, and The Call shows. In addition, he has appeared numerous times on MSNBC, Fox News Channel, Fox Business Network, CNN, and Nightly Business Report on PBS. A 1989 graduate of Northwestern University where he double majored in Soviet politics and American history and a 1991 graduate of the Medill School of Journalism, Pethokoukis is a 2002 Jeopardy! champion.

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