Bush’s 5 Smartest and Dumbest Economic Moves
No one can say President Bush hasn't had a full economic plate of trouble in front of him—imploding asset bubbles (stocks and housing), corporate scandal tax, an energy crisis, a credit crisis, and an (almost) recession. With his time as president nearing a close, let's take a look at the president's best and worst economic moves.
First, the Smartest Moves:
1) Getting the 2003 tax cuts passed. The reduction in capital-gains rates (and the acceleration of the 2001 income tax rate reductions) were growthy and well-timed, helping give the economy the momentum that, so far, has prevented a housing/credit/oil-related recession.
2) Lifting the executive ban on offshore oil drilling. This helped changed the momentum of the energy debate in this country and almost certainly contributed mightily to the recent 20 percent drop in oil prices, saving America about $600 million a day.
3) Pushing Social Security reform. Although this 2005 effort did not result in any action, it cemented in the public mind that Social Security is broken, so much so that even the likely Democratic nominee is calling for it to be fixed. (That's been a political no-go zone for Dems for a generation.)
4) Fighting the war on terrorism. Security is a foundation for economic growth, and there have been no terrorist attacks in the United States since 9/11. Let's roll.
5) Picking Hank Paulson. The former Wall Street investment banker has reinvigorated the Treasury Department and been a key player in keeping the credit crisis from spiraling out of control and in expanding our economic dialogue with China.
Now the Dumbest Moves:
1) Getting the 2001 tax cuts passed. They were more about social policy (helping families, for instance) than about boosting near-term economic growth. The result was a sluggish expansion and higher-than-necessary budget deficits. Good idea, bad timing.
2) Failing to reform entitlements. Not only was there no Social Security or healthcare reform, but Bush put in a brand-new entitlement, Medicare Part D, that added more to our long-term liabilities than Social Security does.
3) Passing Medicare Part D. This was so fiscally foolish it deserves a second mention. Really. To elaborate, it added $8.4 trillion in liabilities, vs. $6.8 trillion for Social Security.
4) Boosting big, expensive government. Discretionary spending was $762 billion in 2000, up 45 percent in real terms, according to the Heritage Foundation. Next year's budget deficit will be roughly $500 billion. Tack on stimulus packages and housing bailouts and Fannie/Freddie bailouts, and you certainly get a picture of an administration that failed to shrink the size and scope of government.
5) Not supporting the U.S. dollar. The falling greenback has helped send commodity prices soaring and sapped the country's economic and global prestige.
Tags: economics | economy | George W. Bush | Bush administration
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Reader Comments
"Growthy" Is that like "truthy"?
Lifting the "executive" ban on offshore drilling dropped oil prices? While Congress still has a ban in law? C'mon. It's spin. Lifting the "executive" ban is nothing but Bush II flip-flopping the ban signed by Bush I for political points and only about a month ago. Drilling there is still as banned as ever and you know it.
The 2001 tax cuts for people were not good? The 2003 tax cuts for corporations and the wealthy were good? C'mon, again. That's not just spin, its lying.
As for Medicare D being dumb? Yeah, maybe. But because it handed more than half the benefit to corporations, not because it added obligations to government ostensibly for seniors.
And fighting a fully unfunded war is "a foundation for economic growth?" Absolutely--IF YOU HAPPEN TO BE A MILITARY CONTRACTOR.
But I'll bet YOU aren't one. YOU are the one who saw the value of YOUR DOLLAR fall by about half. Too much, you say? Not "by half"? Buy a house, a college education, a hospital stay, or a gallon of gas or anything in a foreign country and get back to us how you did with your 2008 dollar vs. your 2000 dollar.
Well, Daniel, when your Messiah gets elected we can see exactly how command and control does for the economy.
"Buy a house, a college education, a hospital stay, or a gallon of gas or anything in a foreign country and get back to us how you did with your 2008 dollar vs. your 2000 dollar."
You live in Amerca. You transact in America. Why in the world would you care what the currency exchange rate is in another country?
On Bush's economic plusses and minuses, you can also add the stimulus package under the minuses, as well as the Fannie and Freddie and Bear Stearns bailouts. Yeah, yeah, they were "too big to fail", but that is exactly why we're in this mess, because we allowed them to get too big to fail. As for Bear Stearns, the bailout should not have been guaranteed by the Fed. The financial markets are incredibly fluid and one investment bank failing is not going to crash the entire system.
How about the steel tariffs?
Wouldn't the steel tariff's Bush imposed in 2002 have to be counted among his dumbest economic moves? The WTO authorized retaliatory action by our closest trading partners, after which the administration backed down and dropped them. Seems pretty dumb.
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