Wednesday, December 3, 2008

Money & Business

Capital Commerce

Are Hedge Funds Breaking the House of Saud?

November 05, 2007 03:41 PM ET | James Pethokoukis | Permanent Link | Print

In September 1992, George Soros became globally famous when he shorted the pound, eventually forcing the Bank of England to pull it out of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism and devalue. The man who "broke the Bank of England" earned a whopping $1.1 billion in the process. It almost looks as if a similar thing is happening with OPEC and the price of oil. As oil continues its seemingly inexorable march toward $100 a barrel or higher, there's all sort of market chatter about whether the Persian Gulf states should dramatically ramp up production to pull the price back to earth. Now while I have little doubt that fears of military strikes against Iran are being reflected in the price, I also have to wonder if the rise also reflects a bet by speculators against Saudi Arabia being able to really open the taps. My personal experiences show that the "peak oil" folks seem to be slowly gaining converts on Wall Street.

Tags: OPEC | oil

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About the Capital Commerce Blog

Send an E-mail to capcom@usnews.com.

James Pethokoukis is the money and politics blogger for U.S. News & World Report , where he writes the monthly Capital Commerce magazine column. Pethokoukis is also the assistant managing editor of the magazine's Money & Business section. He has written for many publications including the New York Times, the American, USA Today, Investor's Business Daily, and TCS Daily. Pethokoukis is also an official CNBC contributor and appears frequently on that network's Kudlow & Company, Power Lunch, and The Call shows. In addition, he has appeared numerous times on MSNBC, Fox News Channel, Fox Business Network, CNN, and Nightly Business Report on PBS. A 1989 graduate of Northwestern University where he double majored in Soviet politics and American history and a 1991 graduate of the Medill School of Journalism, Pethokoukis is a 2002 Jeopardy! champion.

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