Thursday, November 26, 2009

Opinion

Michael Barone

Ad Hoc Fed, Treasury Acts Caused the Financial Crisis, Not Deregulation, Tax Cuts

March 10, 2009 01:35 PM ET | Michael Barone | Permanent Link | Print

Reader Comments

Humpty Bushy Repuby AIG-Big-Bank Dumpty

Free market ideology is a fantasy. I think that one failed last I checked. When making money at the expense of financial stability is the end game, the system teeters on the brink of destruction. That is where we are. Yes Obama will fix it like a grown up after we get past the high school dream of unregulated greed.

Maybe someone should say to AIG. Hey wait a minute you can't make bad ass-ets into golden ones just because it is your whim. Maybe the govt should look into the leveraging of companies. Hey maybe just maybe 33:1 leverage is not sound public policy. Maybe banks should not be able to hide their risks falsely. Maybe they should fear the fact that the govt will have regulators look into their books regularly. Remember Enron.

No you all forgot that one and then the whole system go crumbling down.

Humpty Bushy Repuby AIG-Big-Bank Dumpty seems to be cracking into a trillion pieces.

Should Obama put some of these pieces together. Maybe the banks after we sell off the good parts and the public gets their $$$ back. Get rid of that lavish executive pay and all that greed that got us here in the first place. The Repubs can eviscerate themselves.

Well Bush he probably forgot what happened the last 8 years so no harm done there.

All 3 players had a BIG role.

David - Are you saying that Wall St. didn't have a role in this? Like 5 billion dollars worth of lobbying? I guess you missed my point - the last 10 years has been an orgy of Democrats, Republicans, and Wall St, all sleeping together, unprotected. Now they are angry they swapped STDs. They all are responsible.

Unchecked greed and corruption

Hi everyone! I read this article as I was traveling through limbo ( as all lost souls shall on Judgment Day) which will last an eternity and I thought I'd comment here. At one time in history I was a powerful emperor in a very powerful country. I had a legislative government very similar to yours my armies conquered far and near and the elitists damn near ran everything. Except for the fact that everything was in Latin it was pretty near a perfect system and society for a lot of us (Christians excepted of course). After reading this article I couldn't believe how this took me back to the good old days where our hedonistic unchecked society of greed and corruption along with orgies of gluttony ran amuck. Oh, I had these little "explainers" to tell the masses why our policies were inept after the fact (after all I didn't need a revolution ....did I?). I had all sorts of yes-men and experts along with analysts of every shape and size to remedy our foul-ups while the slaves and peasants growled louder. I didn't care, I would just toss a few more to the lions. Did I mention how its like looking into a mirror. Did I mention I loved to play the fiddle. I hear music America and I smell smoke. Listen well because your near a crossroads America (wish now I had seen it) that will determine if your "empire" will suffer the same fate as mine did. The Hun's are coming.What will you decide to do to stop them? Anyway,Hell is calling so I've got to go. See you soon suckers......Nero P.S. We had a Hollywood and a huge porno industry and a major sports business too. Did I tell you how much Rome was like you.

The Risk was also Distorted

Some free-market-failure commenters have tried to "simplify" things by claiming this was solely a matter of private institutions mis-pricing risk (in CDOs for example). Some further assert that the effects of government interference in the housing market should be limited to the housing market. This argument fails for two reasons:

1. The risk was often passed on to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac through the secondary mortgage market. When GSEs (with implicit government bailout guarantees) distort the secondary market we cannot conclude this is a failure of free markets.

2. The risk is intertwined with housing prices. A default on a $250,000 loan is not a problem if the borrower resides in a $350,000 house! Thus the government distortions of the housing market directly impact the risk analysis of any given loan. Failure to price a government-distorted market should hardly be considered a free-market failure.

If we could predict the effects of government distortions then centrally planned economies just might work... but we can't and they don't.

Was this all my fault?

I am sorry to enter in the fray again. I moved to California to work in a job that I received there. Housing was outrageous. So with a family was I supposed to rent forever while my children grow up hoping that housing prices went down.

No. In fact I watched them skyrocket month by month for two years. The longer I waited the more difficult it was to buy a house. When was it going to end?

So I bought a house. Do I not have "values" therefore? Am I greedy? No. No I am not. I am an American trying to provide for my family. That is the worst thing I have ever heard. I work very hard as do many deserving Americans. This should not be the debate.

The American people are casualties to this financial housing war. We the younger non-baby-boomer generation--the generation forgotten by our beloved media--need to buy houses too. My parents did at my age with my salary rated for inflation.

A bubble in housing exaggerates this fundamental problem. Housing costs more and people do not make enough $$$ to buy the housing. The financial institutions create products to alleviate the problem and then people spend more on less house and so on until the "products" and "instruments" fail.

Who lost their values? Me--some American Dad? Or some corporate liar that promoted lies and unsafe "products" on the public.

Ask yourselves that and think hard about where America needs to go to fix the problem.

Because when I go to the store and buy something it better be safe and effective. That is the role of government to make sure "products" are "safe and effective."

The mortgage products and packaged assets were not safe for the public at all. Witness that reality by reading any newspaper.

Whose fault was that?

Oh yeah mine because I don't have "values"

No it was the poor people that don't deserve houses.

It was Fannie. Grow up people.

Goodbye entitlement, Hello Community Reinvestment Act

I'm not good with the technical jargon, Libor et al, but what has been running about in my squirrelly little brain is the coincidence that during the Clinton administation, the welfare entitlement was eliminated and the Community Reinvestment Act(CRA) was muscled up. Banks of course went off to Wall Street seeking advice as to how Wall Street might assist banks in remaining in compliance with CRA while not going broke. That of course is what the Masters of the Universe (MOTU) are all about. Wall Street thougt about it and looked in their tool chest, alas, Derivatives came of age, and well, you know the rest of the story.

Neglected role of values in crisis

The crisis inwhich we find ourselves is one not only of irresponsible leaders and ineffective institutions, but one of values. As politically-incorrect as it is to say so, much of our nation's past success - economic and otherwise - is tied directly to the Judeo-Christian values of our forebearers, as well as what used to be called 'The Protestant work ethic.' These values included the inherent dignity of hard work, moderation, frugality, doing to your neighbor as you'd want done to you, deplayed gratification, and many more. Whether one got these values in a house of worship or from one's family or a community leader, they were the glue that held us together.

Without our values and moral traditions to serve as a check upon our worst impulses, our system has degraded into a winner-take-all jungle, in which the ends justify the means - being rich, powerful, influential.

Our founding fathers, wise beyond measure into the flaws of human nature, build into our system of governance checks and balances to mitigate, as far as possible, the corruption that inevitably creeps into human affairs. None-the-less, Thomas Jefferson, John Adams, and many others noted that our system of government was suitable only for a moral and religious people.

Is it any wonder that now, increasingly secular and immoral/amoral as we have become as a society, that we suffer from our current difficulties?

Ayn Rand saw it coming 50 years ago

OF COURSE it was government intervention, not deregulation, that caused the crisis. This is blindingly obvious to anyone who looks at the facts. (E.g., what deregulation did we have under Bush? We had more regulation -- e.g., Sarbanes Oxley -- not less.)

Read or re-read Atlas Shrugged, and marvel at the amazing parallels between the national crisis in that book and the one we are experiencing today. It's all there, from the bailouts of incompetent businesses at the expense of competent ones, to the alleged capitalists grubbing for government money, to a succession of destructive government measures, each one intended to clean up the mess left by the last one.

Taxpayer Relief Act of 1997

I've been reflecting about what I said earlier (I apologize for posting multiple times). I agree with the economist Menzie Chinn who has said that the crisis was ultimately the result of a toxic mix of several policy mistakes. But the more I reflect on this, the original problem was the housing bubble that caught the whole financial system off guard (it was in no one's interest to point out that the housing bubble was unsustainable). And then the real question then is what caused the housing bubble to start inflating in 1997? The only thing that matches the timeline is the Taxpayer Relief Act of 1997 which provided amazingly generous tax benefits that ended up promoting a wave of speculative investments in real estate.

But given the number of ideological and partisan comments here, I am struck by the fact that no one has pointed to this most obvious of original causes. The left is too busy trying to blame the financial crisis on deregulation. The right is too busy trying to blame the financial crisis on policies to promote more affordable homeownership. Because of ideological blinders many people (including economists) are missing the most obvious original cause of the financial crisis, and unfortunately because of this, and the excessive strength of the real estate lobby, we are probably doomed to repeat history.

P.S. And for your information, both parties voted in favor of the Taxpayer Relief Act and President Clinton willingly signed it into law.

P.P.S. Anyone who thinks the housing bubble is almost done deflating because the vast majority of subprime ARMs have already reset isn't aware of the gigantic dollar amount of Option ARMs and Alt-A mortgages that will reset in 2010-2011.

BOTH Republicans and Democrats made this problem

Ted K. said:

"Anyone who pinpoints one person or one party as the root of the problem is simply an ideologue and muddies the real story."

So Teddy does that mean you muddy the real story by blaming wall street?

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Michael Barone is a senior writer for U.S.News & World Report and principal coauthor of The Almanac of American Politics. He has written for many publications—including the Economist and the New York Times.

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