Friday, November 27, 2009

Opinion

Michael Barone

Demographic Trends Could Make It Harder for Obama and Democrats

July 22, 2008 04:54 PM ET | Michael Barone | Permanent Link | Print

Reader Comments

Those raw numbers are not the full story

Mike, those numbers are not the whole story. If Nevada is +1 seat the question becomes "who moved into the state to give it more seats?" Are they Reid supporter types or are they more akin to the Arizonans who support McCain?

In the past people in those two states and others have remarked about "Californication" leading to liberal city dwellers modifying the state's political landscape.

You might expand this tiny article into something a little more meaningful by teasing out of the raw data what the politics of the changed numbers might be. If Arizona and Nevada picked up a large chunk of San Francisco Bay or Los Angeles area liberals their net gains might well become net losses.

{^_^} Joanne, acutely aware of the California liberals crowding her style here North of Ontario (California that is.)

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Michael Barone is a senior writer for U.S.News & World Report and principal coauthor of The Almanac of American Politics. He has written for many publications—including the Economist and the New York Times.

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