Monday, November 9, 2009

Opinion

Michael Barone

Indiana Demographics Favor Obama

April 28, 2008 04:10 PM ET | Michael Barone | Permanent Link | Print

I have been assuming that Indiana's demographics are similar to those of Ohio and Pennsylvania. But I have noted that Barack Obama has been doing better in polls there than he was in those two states, and I have read that Indiana has a younger population. So I decided to compare the 2000 Census Bureau demographics for Indiana with those for Ohio and Pennsylvania. It turns out I was wrong. Here's a table showing, rounded off to the nearest percentage, my calculation of the percentage of 18-and-over residents in the 55 and over, 35–54, and 18–34 age groups in each of these states.


  Pa. Ohio  Ind.
55+ 33 30 28
35–54 39 40 39
18–34 28 30 32

 

These aren't huge differences. But in a contest where there have been bigger differences between the preferences of old and young voters, they're significant, and Indiana seems to be demographically more favorable to Barack Obama than either Ohio or Pennsylvania.

Tags: Indiana | Ohio | presidential election 2008 | primaries | Barack Obama | Pennsylvania

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Reader Comments

Think, you still may have a small chance!

I don't understand if you are truely a person of God how could you be such a racist. I hope that Senator Obama does not get the nomination. I want Clinton or McCain to win the white house. I think that will be good for America. This country is so wicked words could never do justice. We have to highest levels of every sin an yet we call ourselves christains. You can fool yourself, but God you better hope does'nt exist. There is not a race on this earth that has not had it's chance to pore oil or continue the hate of the slave master. Mexicans, Chinese, Asian Indians, Arabs, and Jews have all meet Gods test for total destruction. You will drink boiling water for your meals. Don't just say that I am a racist, think of what you have done.

Obama

I don't think that Obama will not win the nomination. I was waiting for whites to play to race card early on. I was wondering just what took them so long. Everything that they say about Mr. wright they knew long time ago. I guess they were seeing weather a black could win if given the chance. So, most young whites, and higher educated whites, have shown that they can see God's light. Lunch bucket whites, which have always been racist ,and older whites, which have always been racist will surely meet God's wrath for slavery, land stealing, rape, changing God's word, and a host of other offences. The sad part of this is most of America's problems will get worse with Clinton or McCain. The world will never view America In a positive light and your bombs won't help you Hilliary. God won't permit it.!

Clinton will win Indiana by double digits I predict. Lets wait and see.

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Michael Barone is a senior writer for U.S.News & World Report and principal coauthor of The Almanac of American Politics. He has written for many publications—including the Economist and the New York Times.

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