Thursday, November 26, 2009

Opinion

Michael Barone

Two Winnable Wars

February 25, 2008 10:16 AM ET | Michael Barone | Permanent Link | Print

That's what Anthony Cordesman of the Center for Strategic and International Studies calls Iraq and Afghanistan in an opinion article in Sunday's Washington Post. Cordesman has long been a skeptic about the possibilities for success in Iraq and has been quoted on occasion by those who argue we should withdraw posthaste. In this article, he recommends the opposite—and in the strongest terms. Key passages:

What the situations in Iraq and Afghanistan have in common is that it will take a major and consistent U.S. effort throughout the next administration at least to win either war. Any American political debate that ignores or denies the fact that these are long wars is dishonest and will ensure defeat....

If the next president, Congress and the American people cannot face this reality, we will lose. Years of false promises about the speed with which we can create effective army, police and criminal justice capabilities in Iraq and Afghanistan cannot disguise the fact that mature, effective local forces and structures will not be available until 2012 and probably well beyond. This does not mean that U.S. and allied force levels cannot be cut over time, but a serious military and advisory presence will probably be needed for at least that long, and rushed reductions in forces or providing inadequate forces will lead to a collapse at the military level.

It is true that many Democratic primary voters and caucusgoers are slavering at the prospect of American defeat. They want to see us lose. Cordesman, no fan of George W. Bush, to say the least, wants to see us win. Someone needs to cite Cordesman's article and conclusions and ask Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton which side they're on.

Tags: Iraq war (2003-) | War in Afghanistan (2001-)

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conclusions began overwhelming regions various

180 compliance criticized carbon actual

Iraq and Afghanistan

Cordesman is on the right track for sure. It doesn't matter what our expectations are in either place, it matters what the good people of those countries expect for their future and we can only give them a glimpse of the possibilities and hope that they grasp them. Freedom is not free, it has to be fought for and won and never let go. That is the real issue and we are either willing to stay the difficult course of freedom or watch it slip away on the side lines. It is much harder still to get actively involved on the ground or in a support role rather than write hollow commentary which is largely uneducated about the reality in either country or misrepresent the amazing things that the men and women of the USA and other countries are doing in these far away places, far from the shores of our country but so close to what is basic in our lives-freedom, security, and progress.

Winning War

It depends on how many times you re-define "winning" to meet lowered expectations.

Winning in Iraq meant achieving the goals of depriving Saddam of the WMD he was addicted to and leaving Iraq as a shining city on the hill after a 30-90 day occupation, at a cost to the U.S. of < $2 billion dollars since Iraqi oil would pay for reconstruction "sooner rather than later."

Reference: "The Atlanta Journal-Constitution: 9/8/03: Last February, with invasion just weeks away, sources in the Bush administration told Newsweek that they were expecting a postwar occupation of Iraq of 30 to 90 days."

Winning in Afghanistan meant getting bin Laden and neutralizing al-Qaeda.

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Michael Barone is a senior writer for U.S.News & World Report and principal coauthor of The Almanac of American Politics. He has written for many publications—including the Economist and the New York Times.

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