Thursday, November 26, 2009

Opinion

Michael Barone

The South Carolina Polling Bounce

January 11, 2008 02:10 PM ET | Michael Barone | Permanent Link | Print

Here's a nice example of the bounce from New Hampshire in South Carolina. From Realclearpolitics.com, here are the polls between Iowa and New Hampshire:

  McCain Huck Romney Thomp Giuli
AVERAGE 1/4-1/7 20 32 16 9 9
SurveyUSA 17 36 19 11 9
Rasmussen 21 28 15 11 10
Insider Advantage 21 33 14 5 8
AVERAGE 1/9-1/10 26 21 16 10 5
Rasmussen 27 24 16 12 6
Fox News 25 18 17 9 5

 

 

 

 

 

 

What the numbers are suggesting is that the lead has changed hands, from Mike Huckabee to John McCain, with Rudy Giuliani fading. Mitt Romney and Fred Thompson are static. Will this change after Thompson's boffo performance in the Thursday night Fox News debate? Stay tuned.

Tags: candidates | presidential election 2008 | primaries | Republicans

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Michael Barone is a senior writer for U.S.News & World Report and principal coauthor of The Almanac of American Politics. He has written for many publications—including the Economist and the New York Times.

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