Rudy Takes the Lead
The latest Gallup/USAToday poll shows Rudy Giuliani with a big lead in the racefor the Republican nomination. Giuliani gets 40 percent to 24 percent for JohnMcCain, 9 for Newt Gingrich, 5 for Mitt Romney, and 3 for Sam Brownback. Othersget 2 percent or less. Caution: There were only 425 Republican respondents, sothe margin of error is greater than in most polls you see. But it looks like aclear upsurge for Giuliani. The last three Gallup polls showed between 28 and31 percent for him and between 26 and 28 percent for McCain: Ties. Now Giulianiis ahead by nearly 2 to 1. And I don't think you can attribute these results toMcCain's strong support of George W. Bush's surge. Gallup askedRepublicans whether Bush's troop surge and McCain's strong support of the warmade them more or less likely to support McCain. Only 8 percent said thosethings made them much less likely to support McCain, while 21 percent said itmade them much more likely to support him.
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