Entries for April 12, 2006

My blog entry on the Italian elections was written when it looked like there was a good chance that the center right would have a majority in the Senate and might still get a majority in the Chamber of Deputies.

In surfing through some of my favorite websites this morning, I came across references to these interesting articles on Iraq.

I have been predicting that the key factor in the 2006 congressional elections will be turnout. Will Republicans have the advantage in turnout, as they did in 2004, when John Kerry's popular vote was 16 percent higher than Al Gore's while George W. Bush's popular vote was 23 percent higher in 2004 than in 2000? Or will Republicans' disillusionment with Bush and the Republican Congress on issues like spending and immigration, Katrina and Iraq, result in more robust turnout for Democrats than Republicans?