Saturday, November 14, 2009

Opinion

Michael Barone

Entries for March 17, 2006

Counterfactual history

March 17, 2006 04:00 PM ET |

What would have happened if we had not taken military action against Iraq in March 2003? Any assessment of the wisdom of that military action needs to take that question into account. Of course we cannot know exactly what would have happened—just as George W. Bush in March 2003 could not have known. But both decision makers and critics must make some estimate of the likely outcomes of action and inaction and take them into account when assessing the wisdom of decisions.

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Michael Barone is a senior writer for U.S.News & World Report and principal coauthor of The Almanac of American Politics. He has written for many publications—including the Economist and the New York Times.

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