Wednesday, November 25, 2009

Mortimer B. Zuckerman

The Growing Job Crisis Needs Solutions Now

The country's been losing jobs for long enough. Something needs to be done

Posted October 13, 2009

America has always been a country that thrives on hard work and not merely hard work but also thrift and self-reliance. We have long promoted hard work and the pursuit of wealth. We have all absorbed Benjamin Franklin's maxim "Early to bed and early to rise, makes a man healthy, wealthy, and wise."

Job creation has long been one of our unique historic achievements. In a literal application of the economist Joseph Schumpeter's notion of creative destruction, the United States lost some 44 million jobs in the last two decades of the 20th century but simultaneously created 73 million private-sector jobs. A stunning 55 percent of the total workforce by the end of the past century was in new jobs, some two thirds of them in industries that paid more than the average wage. This is no fluke. It is because we benefit from a unique brand of entrepreneurial bottom-up capitalism.

Today, there is no evidence of job creation. Quite the opposite: Unemployment is rising, and millions of jobs have disappeared. In the place of thrift we have become a nation of debtors, staggering beneath mortgage loans that exceed the value of our homes and credit lines that exceed our ability to pay for them. But the Great Recession, as the current downturn is called, has also changed the nature of unemployment.

About one third of the 15 million workers now completely jobless have been out of work for at least six months—the highest proportion since records were first kept in 1948—and more than half have been out of work for three months or longer. Meanwhile, those in jobs find their workweek reduced to 33 hours, again the lowest in 60 years. Firms are cutting hours, wages, and benefits rather than laying off still more workers. In the first half of this year, the increase in all private wages and salaries was a measly 1.3 percent, one third of what it was in the first half of 2007. Today, all elements of total labor income—jobs, hours, and average hourly wages—are under pressure.

Many Americans who have lost their jobs now have no way to replace their lost income. Take unemployment benefits, which pay around a third of one's regular salary. Generally, the requirement for the benefit is to have worked full time on the last job for at least a year. But more than half of the unemployed do not qualify for benefits because they had been in their jobs for only six months to a year before the ax fell, were working part time, or were independent contractors or free agents of some sort. This leaves only 43 percent eligible for unemployment benefits. The anxiety is intense: Sixty-one percent of the unemployed say they are concerned their benefits will expire before they find a job, and half said it was the first time they'd ever been out of work.

These men and women are too well aware that long-term unemployment will cause their human capital to deteriorate, making them harder to re-employ. These are the jobless who've failed to augment their on-the-job skills. Their fears are justified since there are now nearly six workers available for every job opening—up from 1.7 workers per job opening when the recession began. This is driven home by the dramatic increase in those who are dependent on government food stamps. Since the recession began, this category has risen by over 6.2 million, to the point where food stamps now feed a near record 1 in 9 Americans.

The mix in the labor force has also changed. The number of people over age 55 who are working has grown by some 8 percent. They have felt they had to hang on to their jobs as the net worth of their homes and stocks declined. In fact, 63 percent of workers ages 50 to 61 expect they will have to push back their retirement, thereby restricting openings for younger workers. By contrast, during the two previous recessions of 1990-1991 and 2001, people in their mid-40s to their mid-50s continued to show employment gains, while it was younger workers who felt the biggest impact of the cutbacks. Of course, this time younger workers have not escaped either: A quarter of teenagers, or about 1.6 million of them, are without work. The unemployment rate for young Americans has skyrocketed to 52.2 percent, a post-World War II high. In previous recessions, the unemployment rate among 16-to-24-year-olds never went above 50 percent. This time, even employment in the 45-to-54 age group has fallen by more than 1.2 million. These are the very people who are in the prime of their wage-earning years. Because of their experience and generally higher wage requirements, it will take these older workers much longer to find jobs, and some will have to settle for considerably less pay. The other consequence of the prolonged recession is that many more men than women have been losing jobs. The women's share of the workforce may have reached a record 50 percent last month, probably because women are still paid less and tend to occupy less remunerative jobs.

Reader Comments

All you fat, partisan Americans

Yeah go ahead and blame! Most of you borrowed yourselves into oblivion and now want somebody else to blame. The right blames the left, the left blames the right, the poor blame the rich, and everybody eats a big greasy meal while you complain.

The problem isn't your political machine, it's your human machine. You became avaricious and indulged as a society and now you are paying the price. It isn't divine justice, it's simply the swing of a pendulum.

For a country that (historically) prides itself on hard work and a bootstrapping pioneering approach, all I see here are finger-pointers. America is in real trouble, and you'd rather blame and kvetch than clean up your acts.

You have overspent, overconsumed, and underprepared for at least 30 years, and now you have been called to account.

Thing is, you don't have any assets.

All we need is Jobs (should be sung by the Beatles)

All we need is jobs!

The Government struggles to detail the actual jobs saved/created. Americans struggle to see the jobs saved/created. Oblique references to jobs saved in the banking sector are not received well and the vast majority of Americans are not lovers of the industry.

We need a specific act by Government that is clearly a job saver for people that want to work everyday (middle America). We need a hero for job creation that works quickly and specifically not a claim that (X) teaching jobs were saved by contributing to education.

GM is eliminating 2 brands and closing factories that are, no kidding, the property of the American Taxpayers. Did the taxpayers elect to use their assets in a manner that loses 200,000 jobs? Of course not. Would Americans applaud a project to literally save these jobs be investing a fraction of the remaining bailout funds? Of course they would. Suddenly the Government has a success that is truly saving jobs, Americans are cheering for success and buying American cars, and GM looks for all the world like a hero for participating. A GREAT STORY! We need one.

Savingpontiac.org has relentlessly suggested the process by which we can get to this success for all...please visit us when you have a moment!

Want more jobs? Forget it!

Here's a solution: a federal tax revolt. Everybody pay your federal taxes to your state. Corporate taxes, personal income taxes, the whole nine yards, just pay it to your state. Face it, folks, no one in Washington cares about us. Obama is just four more years of Bush.

Last April, my husband and I paid our federal taxes to Wisconsin. We're in the process of packing and moving up to Canada, where my husband is originally from. We'd love to be part of a movement to reverse the ugly trend toward total economic collapse of the US. Unfortunately, most of my fellow Americans would rather just sit around and complain. It's gonna take more than just protests and endless letters to your congressmen. It's gonna take direct and decisive action. Don't wait for change, BE the change! But since no one in this country cares to get off their duffs and take action, I've decided to give up. My husband and I have another country to live happily ever after in, so we're going. Good luck to the rest of you.

Add your thoughts

Your comment will be posted immediately, unless it is spam or contains profanity. For more information, please see our Comments FAQ.

advertisement

Crossword Puzzle

Do You Like Crosswords?

We've added a new feature to our weekly digital magazine: an exclusive crossword puzzle!

advertisement

Cartoon Gallery

Editorial Cartoon

Political Cartoons

Check out our most recent cartoons.

Mary Kate Cary

Mary Kate Cary

The GOP Should Reach Out to Women

The male-dominated party just doesn't understand what women want.

Mort Zuckerman

Mort Zuckerman

The Financial System Needs a Careful Cure

Let the Federal Reserve oversee new regulations for finance giants.

Palin Cartoon Gallery

Editorial Cartoon on Sarah Palin

We've assembled some of the best editorial cartoons on Sarah Palin. Check them out.

Thomas Jefferson St.

Turkey Tax

Uncle Sam is joining in on your Thanksgiving dinner.

Ideological Labels Just Don't Fit

Hard-liners don't understand that some of us don't toe an ideological line.

A Decade in Biased Review

How well does the video sum up the last decade?

GOPers Push European-Style Litmus Tests

Some RNC members want strict party platforms. Why do they hate America?

Can Conservative Carly Fiorina Carry Cali?

Ronald Reagan's state is now one of the most liberal in the nation.

Opinions Clash on Wars in Iran, Afghanistan

Fewer favor the effort in Afghanistan, support rises for hostilities against Iran's nuclear program.

Bennet's Senate Seat Is Already at Risk

His vote on healthcare would be less a case of political martyrdom than it may seem.

Bush Airport Reflects Its Namesake

Could Houston's Bush Intercontinental airport be number one because of its name?

Your Photos

President Barack Obama speaks about combat troop level reductions in Iraq as he addresses military personnel at Marine Corps Base Camp Lejeune.

Obama in Your Town

Has the president visited your town? Send your photos to obamaphotos@usnews.com, and we'll post our favorites online.

Courtesy Greg Meinert

Thousands cheer as Obama becomes the 44th president.

Your Inauguration Photos

Thanks for sending us such great shots from this historic event.


A baby kissing an Obama poster for Washington Whispers.

Your Campaign Photos

We asked to see your personal election pictures and you delivered.

Public Opinion

Should the GOP Have a Litmus Test?

Should the RNC exclude politicians who don't match the party's platform?

advertisement

Use of this Web site constitutes acceptance of our Terms and Conditions of Use and Privacy Policy.
Make USNews.com your home page.