Thursday, November 26, 2009

Mortimer B. Zuckerman

Stop the Energy Insanity

No combination of solar, wind, ethanol, biodiesel, or anything else will allow us independence in the foreseeable future

Posted July 10, 2008

Only in 2007, with gasoline nearing $3 a gallon, did Congress approve the first major increase in fuel efficiency in 32 years, requiring the fleet average to reach 35 mpg by 2020—a measure that would save only 1 million barrels a day by then. Attempts to raise taxes on gasoline to reduce consumption have essentially failed, except for a small tax increase of 4.3 cents per gallon in 1993.

Supply. As costs of oil imports have soared, the benefits of increasing our own supplies have multiplied—while the environmental costs have been reduced by technologies and practices developed over the past two decades. In other words, the benefits exceed the costs.

We can get past the lame repetition of the decades-old argument over the virtues of offshore drilling. Simply put: To refuse to exploit our vast oil reserves is insane. The United States is one of the few countries in the world that choose to lock up their natural resources by dramatically restricting production and exploration. At least, until now. That $4 pump price is changing public attitudes. In a recent Gallup Poll, 57 percent favored drilling in U.S. coastal and wilderness areas that were once off limits. How shocking is that? In the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, we're talking about a tiny corner of 2,200 acres (an area the size of a small airport) out of 19 million acres. The proposed drilling promises to yield an estimated 10.4 billion barrels, representing well over 20 years of imports from Saudi Arabia. Drilling in ANWR would take place on the coastal plain, a mosquito-plagued tundra and bog in the summer, not in the snowcapped mountains of ANWR that television pictures would have you believe are at stake. In the winter, the area would also be traversed on ice roads that melt in the spring. This would do no permanent damage to an environment in one of the bleakest, most remote places on this continent—except to inconvenience some caribou that might have to find a different place to mate. We cannot lose over $40 billion a year to serve the caribou.

Similarly, the outer continental shelf is estimated to contain some 86 billion barrels of oil, plus 420 trillion cubic feet of natural gas that is overwhelmingly off limits and underdeveloped—even though those reserves could be tapped now with minimal environmental disturbance. This is supported by the fact that there were virtually no oil spills when Hurricanes Katrina and Rita flattened terminals around the Gulf of Mexico. Offshore drilling rigs would be far beyond beach sightlines. The stellar environmental records of eco-sensitive regions such as Scandinavia, the Netherlands, and Great Britain have shown that the greatest oil spills would be avoided because they typically come from tankers importing oil, not from drilling or other offshore locations. The same can be said of the eastern Gulf of Mexico, where there is an estimated 3.7 billion barrels in relatively shallow waters.

If this sounds like a remedy that's a long way off from fixing $4-a-gallon gas, it must be remembered that prices for crude and gasoline are set by future expectations. Any policy that pushes the future supply to increase or leads future demand to drop can cause today's prices to fall or to rise less than they otherwise would. That is why to open up new areas would cause the oil futures markets to respond relatively quickly.

Oil out of the ground is only a start. For new crude to yield lower gasoline prices, we need to reduce the barriers to building or expanding our refineries. Refineries face multiple regulatory barriers in a world of NIMBY ("not in my backyard") and the inevitable litigation from the environmental lobbies.

Here are five more energy imperatives we need to move on quickly:

1. Reallocate resources to concentrate funds on providing the necessary R&D support for energy efficiency. We must do this with the real menace of global warming in mind. James Hansen, the director of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, frames the issue this way: Our biggest worry is not what we put in our cars but what we put in our power plants. He believes that we should stop the use of coal by 2030, except with those power plants that can capture the carbon dioxide.

Reader Comments

The Energy Issue

It appears that the only realistic solution is the people of the U.S. are going to have to agree together what is the most important to them, their greedy desires for making more profit, or, doing the right thing and saving our planets resources and it's environment. It will probably take someone with prestige and power to get the ball rolling. Then maybe more of the general public will want to follow in the endevor to collectively do the right thing. But money can become the root of all evil.as the Blble warns us.

energy cooperation

Mr. Zuckerman you left out businesses and Wall Street in general when you called for cooperation in solving the energy problem. Realize we had the rail technology to build the fast electro-magnetic trains and sold it to Europe and Japan because we didn't want to spend taxes on such a project back in the late 60s and early 70s. We had an energy policy starting under President Carter looking toward solar, wind, conservation etc. which was squelched under Reagan. If we have a consolidated effort it has to be sold to taxpayers as an emergency program or it will fail. Taxpayers are greedy with their money my friend that is why the nation is in this mess. Taxpayers want services on the cheap and as with many buyers of cheap you will pay substantially for anything worthwhile in the long run.

The Root of the Problem

Mr. Zuckerman states the problem clearly and asks: "What is to be done?" He then describes a set of energy policy solutions, some elements obvious, some debatable, before declaring at the end of the editorial:

"We simply cannot afford a political system that is incapable of addressing such a critical national issue. In other words, we need real leadership in Washington."

I couldn't agree more. However, nowhere does Mr. Zuckerman describe why our political system is incapable of addressing critical issues and offering honest debate and real leadership in Washington, nor does he suggest any kind of solution to that problem.

The root cause of our inability to deal with any of a growing list of critical issues is the control of election campaign funds by corporate money. Even without an explicit quid-pro-quo, the simultaneous lobbying for corporate wish lists and generous contributions to election campaign funds produces government of, by, and for the corporations.

What is to be done?

We the people have to buy back our representatives. This is necessary, if not sufficient, before it will even be possible to have an honest debate on energy policy, global warming, infrastructure, health care, or any of the other major issues demanding attention in our Republic. At the moment, much as it leaves a bad taste in my mouth, the only way I can see to accomplish this is mandatory public financing of federal campaigns coupled with a prohibition on the use of corporate money (companies, unions, PACs, etc) for political purposes.

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