Wednesday, November 25, 2009

Campaign 2008

The Swing States: John McCain and Barack Obama Locked in Tight Race in Virginia

Posted October 7, 2008
A young fan at John McCain and Sarah Palin's Road to Victory Rally held at Van Dyke Park in Fairfax, VA.
A young fan at a McCain-Palin rally in Virginia.

There is a fervor in the state, DeGraw says. It's reflected in voter registration. This year alone, Virginia has added 284,162 new voters, bringing the total number of registered voters to more than 6 percent higher than in 2004. A majority of the new voters are between the ages of 17 and 25—Obama's sweet spot.

Swavely, who wore a Vietnam veteran cap and a T-shirt emblazoned with "America," predicts a very close race in his state, but a McCain win. "I wasn't too optimistic at one point, but Governor Palin was like a breath of fresh air." But with so many variables in play—from Palin and race to urbanization and the economy, how Virginia goes may very well remain a real surprise until November 4.

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Reader Comments

i think mccain shoud of won

Democrats and the Economy

And, Barney Frank & Chris Dodd had no role. Right?

It is almost impossible to defeat Obama in less than a month

Let us assume that we are robots without emotions and preferences.

Then the data of pollsters, and the bets at INTRADE look extremely bad for McCain. That things change in less than a month is only possible through terrorist attacks or Invasions of Countries by Russia.

I want to call attention to Bets. People that bet money feel more pain than pollsters when they err. And Bettors are crazy for Obama on the Toss Up States. They know their own State and the likelihood of Swinging.

So I feel sure that Obama wins. The interesting point is How Obama will win, the toss up states more likely to give the boost to Obama.

And the Racial and Demographic Composition of the Obama Coalition.

That is what we are going to study for the next years. Raciality and Demographics are going to play a bigger role in Next Elections, For State and Nation.

http://tossUpStates.blogspot.com/

http://milenials.blogspot.com/

Vicente Duque.

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