Monday, July 6, 2009

Retirement

6 Ways to Tell if You're Financially Ready to Retire

Posted July 10, 2008

If you're suddenly obsessed with thoughts of quitting the rat race and playing golf all day, it's probably a good sign that you're mentally ready to retire. But are you financially ready? That moment may be tougher to pinpoint.

Early-morning fishing at Lake Peachtree in Peachtree City, Ga.
Early-morning fishing at Lake Peachtree in Peachtree City, Ga.

Here are some ways to tell if you are financially prepared to take the leap:

Guaranteed income streams. Find out when you are fully vested in your pension and 401(k) and at what age you can begin making withdrawals. In some cases, spouses can also qualify for pension distributions. "You want some kind of income that's predictable that's not subject to investment fluctuations," says Anna Rappaport, a fellow of the Society of Actuaries. "Then you can afford to take more risk with the rest of the portfolio."

Almost all workers can begin collecting Social Security at age 62, but delaying claiming up until age 70 will net you between 7 and 8 percent higher checks for each year you delay. "You want to be looking at those annual benefit statements that you get to make sure your benefits have been appropriately credited," says Brent Neiser, a certified financial planner and a director of the National Endowment for Financial Education.

Liquid assets. Workers without a traditional pension need to have cash that can be spent immediately upon retirement. "If you have liquid assets, you may be able to retire now," says Michael Kresh, president and chief investment officer of M. D. Kresh Financial Services in Islandia, N.Y.

However, workers without readily available cash should consider delaying retirement. "If you need to sell some stocks [to produce income to live off of], you cannot retire right now," says Ray Lucia, a certified financial planner and president and founder of Raymond J. Lucia Cos. Inc. in San Diego. "You should not ever sell into a declining market."

Ideally, you should have funds to pay for about three years' worth of expenses accessible in relatively safe accounts where there is little risk of losing principal, according to Jim Barnash, a certified financial planner in Northbrook, Ill. This should allow you to ride out market volatility without having to sell investments into a down market at a loss. "Historically, we have never had a period of more than three years' worth of down markets," says Barnash. He also recommends that you keep about 25 percent of your portfolio aggressively invested to fight inflation and the rest invested according to your risk tolerance.

A retirement distribution strategy. In order to retire comfortably, you'll need to amass an ample sum of money so that withdrawing 4 to 5 percent each year will be enough to cover all your bills, according to Lucia. You can also try to minimize taxes by withdrawing larger sums from tax-deferred accounts in years when you are in a lower tax bracket.

It helps if you can wait for a market upswing to start drawing down your nest egg. "If you have to tap into your retirement investments in an economic environment like we are having right now, it certainly is going to put a lot more stress on your financial resources and can significantly reduce the number of years that you will have funds available to live off of in retirement," says Barnash. "If you can, try to hold off until the markets are steady or on an upswing to be able to retire with the best possible advantages of making it through the long run."

Health insurance. Most companies no longer offer subsidized health insurance to retirees. If you retire prior to age 65, when Medicare eligibility kicks in, you'll need to find another source of health insurance, be it through a spouse, COBRA coverage through your former employer where you pick up the full and often pricey premium, or an even more expensive policy purchased on the open market. And even once people qualify for Medicare, various studies have found, couples will need between $205,932 and $225,000 to pay for out-of-pocket expenses like premiums, deductibles, and copays.

Reader Comments

Retiree Healthcare costs

I agree with the author and disagree with the previous commenter on both of his points.

Individual health insurance purchased on the "open market" is of course more expensive than group insurance with the same coverage. In many cases individual policies can be cheaper, but only with less coverage or more restrictions than a similar group policy. This is especially true for the group the author is referring to - retirees under age 65, not yet eligible for Medicare but typically having much higher claims than those still working.

One may or may not have copays, deductibles, or out of pocket costs if they purchase a supplemental policy. Of course, they have to pay for the policy as well. The website Medicare.gov estimates the average total cost for a 65 year old in good health on Medicare (without prescription drug coverage) to be $4,200, or $8,400 for a couple. In Charlotte, NC, the website shows supplemental policies available with estimated total costs of $3,000 to $4,500 per person per year depending on the benefits covered.

If the average cost for a couple is $8,000 in 2008, that amount will surely increase each year. Assuming typical medical trend rates of 9% grading down to 5% over 8 years, that couple will have paid out $200,000 in less than 16 years. Even if those future payments are discounted back to today (using the current 4% annual rate earned by the Trust Fund), the $200,000 will buy them less than 20 years of coverage. Given the improvements in mortality we are experiencing, many couples will need more than that.

"open market more expensive" - not, $200K+ post retire - not

The writer of this article needs to do her homework. Once on Medicare there are no copays, deductibles, or out of pocket costs if one has a supplement. Rx may be an annual cost if Rx costs exceed $2800 per yr. Now, Long Term Care costs are significant and need to be mitigated by having LTC insurance.

Health ins purchased on the open market is NOT more expensive than group coverage, in fact it is a lot less in most instances. Insurability can be a problem though therefore people need to get their own policy before heart, cancer, obesity conditions arise.

NC and SC folks can go to www.healthcoverages.com for further info.

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